S Carolina at Arkansas : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 11, 2012 1:30 pm - Fayetteville, AR
Odds: Arkansas by 6, Total Points: 136.5

More Games From Feb 11, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SCAR ARK
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SCAR ARK
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 59.9
Field Goal % 42.8% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 41.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.3 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 43.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 35.3 24.4
Free Throw % 67.0% 70.6%
Ball Control SCAR ARK
Rebounds 41.9 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.3 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 9.5
Turnovers 14.2 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.0 6.7
Steals 5.3 7.2
Fouls 19.2 22.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SCAR ARK
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SCAR ARK
2 Point Attempt 42.5% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 16.5% 20.9%
Player Fouled 29.6% 25.0%
Turnover 18.5% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SCAR ARK
Shot Blocked 11.4% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 36.0% 25.1%