Jksnville St at Murray St: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 21, 2021 8:30 pm - Murray, KY
Odds: Murray St. by 7.5, Total Points: 134.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST MURR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting JVST MURR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 53.0
Field Goal % 44.3% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.1% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 36.7%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 18.7
Free Throw % 68.8% 68.9%
Ball Control JVST MURR
Rebounds 33.7 29.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 7.1
Turnovers 11.9 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.5
Steals 5.0 5.7
Fouls 14.5 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST MURR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with JVST MURR
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 24.5%
Player Fouled 21.7% 22.1%
Turnover 18.1% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST MURR
Shot Blocked 4.9% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 30.2% 23.0%