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Jksnville St at Murray St : Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 12, 2012 8:00 pm - Murray, KY
Odds: Murray St. by 18, Total Points: 126

More Games From Jan 12, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring JSU MUST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting JSU MUST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 51.5 51.4
Field Goal % 40.8% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 17.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 37.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 20.7
Free Throw % 73.9% 71.1%
Ball Control JSU MUST
Rebounds 27.8 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 9.4
Turnovers 9.7 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.3 1.7
Steals 3.9 3.9
Fouls 16.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JSU MUST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with JSU MUST
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 22.6%
Player Fouled 25.6% 25.4%
Turnover 14.9% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken JSU MUST
Shot Blocked 3.4% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 30.9%