Jksnville St at Belmont: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 3, 2019 9:00 pm - Nashville, TN
Odds: Belmont by 8.5, Total Points: 150.5

More Games From Jan 3, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring JVST BEL
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting JVST BEL
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 53.9
Field Goal % 41.0% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 31.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 40.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 19.2
Free Throw % 68.8% 73.1%
Ball Control JVST BEL
Rebounds 36.5 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 5.7
Turnovers 12.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.5
Steals 6.6 6.8
Fouls 15.7 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JVST BEL
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with JVST BEL
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 19.8% 29.1%
Player Fouled 19.8% 22.2%
Turnover 16.9% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken JVST BEL
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 18.8%