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St Marys vs. Baylor : Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 22, 2011 10:30 pm - Las Vegas, NV (Neutral Site)
Odds: Baylor by 3, Total Points: 137.5

More Games From Dec 22, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SMAR BAY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SMAR BAY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 59.3
Field Goal % 51.5% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 44.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.1% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 15.0
3 Point Shooting % 41.5% 36.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.8 15.8
Free Throw % 66.4% 70.6%
Ball Control SMAR BAY
Rebounds 29.1 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 20.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 12.9
Turnovers 10.6 7.7
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.9
Steals 4.3 5.9
Fouls 13.8 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SMAR BAY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SMAR BAY
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 56.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 19.2%
Player Fouled 23.9% 21.5%
Turnover 16.5% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SMAR BAY
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 36.8%