Providence at Rhode Island: Box Score Simulation

Friday Dec 23, 2011 7:00 pm - Las Vegas, NV
Odds: Providence by 4, Total Points: 144.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PROV URI
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PROV URI
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.9 57.3
Field Goal % 41.1% 40.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 40.1
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 45.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 17.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.4% 28.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 25.8
Free Throw % 70.3% 67.3%
Ball Control PROV URI
Rebounds 40.5 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.5 11.9
Turnovers 13.1 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.3
Steals 5.7 7.8
Fouls 17.7 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PROV URI
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PROV URI
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 23.3% 20.1%
Player Fouled 22.2% 24.4%
Turnover 18.1% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PROV URI
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 35.4% 30.7%