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Providence at S Carolina : Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 1, 2011 7:00 pm - Columbia, SC
Odds: South Carolina by 6.5, Total Points: 132

More Games From Dec 1, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PROV SCAR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 49.5 57.3
Field Goal % 41.8% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 30.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 22.2
Free Throw % 69.8% 70.3%
Ball Control PROV SCAR
Rebounds 33.7 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 11.9
Turnovers 15.1 11.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.5
Steals 4.8 7.5
Fouls 17.8 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PROV SCAR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PROV SCAR
2 Point Attempt 39.0% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.9% 21.4%
Player Fouled 26.2% 25.1%
Turnover 21.3% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PROV SCAR
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 32.3%