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Providence at Cincinnati: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 15, 2012 9:00 pm - Cincinnati, OH
Odds: Cincinnati by 10, Total Points: 137

Matchup Menu: PROV @ CIN

More Games From Feb 15, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring PROV CIN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting PROV CIN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 63.8
Field Goal % 40.4% 40.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.9 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.3% 43.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 20.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 32.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 15.6
Free Throw % 74.5% 68.9%
Ball Control PROV CIN
Rebounds 35.6 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 12.8
Turnovers 11.5 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.1
Steals 5.5 6.4
Fouls 12.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PROV CIN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with PROV CIN
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 23.8%
Player Fouled 20.3% 18.0%
Turnover 16.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PROV CIN
Shot Blocked 6.5% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 31.8%