Dayton vs. Fairfield: Box Score Simulation

Friday Nov 25, 2011 5:00 pm - Orlando, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Fairfield by 1.5, Total Points: 130

More Games From Nov 25, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAY FAIR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DAY FAIR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 61.1
Field Goal % 53.9% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.1 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 64.7% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 28.5
3 Point Shooting % 41.1% 32.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 10.7
Free Throw % 74.7% 74.0%
Ball Control DAY FAIR
Rebounds 36.7 28.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 19.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 8.5
Turnovers 10.7 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.7
Steals 4.5 6.6
Fouls 10.4 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAY FAIR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DAY FAIR
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.4% 37.0%
Player Fouled 19.6% 15.4%
Turnover 15.8% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAY FAIR
Shot Blocked 2.8% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 22.3%