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Dayton at Miami (OH): Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 15, 2011 7:00 pm - Miami, OH
Odds: Dayton by 3.5, Total Points: 132

Matchup Menu: DAY @ M-OH

More Games From Nov 15, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAY M-OH
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DAY M-OH
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 57.1
Field Goal % 47.8% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 43.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 33.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 11.2
Free Throw % 74.7% 71.5%
Ball Control DAY M-OH
Rebounds 37.9 29.0
Rebounds - Defensive 29.8 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 6.4
Turnovers 9.7 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.6
Steals 5.7 5.0
Fouls 12.4 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAY M-OH
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DAY M-OH
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 33.3%
Player Fouled 22.5% 18.5%
Turnover 14.5% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAY M-OH
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 17.7%