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Dayton at Murray St: Point Spread Analysis

Sunday Dec 4, 2011 2:00 pm - Murray, KY
Odds: Murray St. by 3, Total Points: 132.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Dayton +3.0 Official TR Pick Dayton 50% odds to cover
Dayton +3.0 Decision Tree Dayton 50% odds to cover
Murray St -3.0 Similar Games Murray St 59% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record DAY adv MURR
Season 16-16-1 13-18-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-10-0 10-11-0
Streak L1 L1
Last 5 2-3-0 2-3-0
Last 10 4-6-0 4-6-0
Home 6-9-0 4-11-0
Away 10-7-1 9-7-0

Dayton Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home SIU Edward -17.5 W by 16 -1.5
11/10 Away Northwestern +5.0 L by 5 0.0
11/16 Neutral LSU -1.0 W by 3 +2.0
11/17 Neutral St Johns -1.0 W by 7 +6.0
11/19 Neutral Houston +12.5 L by 14 -1.5
11/24 Home Youngs St -14.5 W by 8 -6.5
11/29 Away S Methodist +1.0 W by 2 +3.0
12/02 Home Grambling St -21.5 W by 30 +8.5
12/09 Home Troy -13.5 W by 12 -1.5
12/16 Neutral Cincinnati +5.5 W by 14 +19.5
12/20 Home Oakland -12.0 W by 24 +12.0
12/30 Home Longwood -13.0 W by 9 -4.0
01/03 Away Davidson -4.5 W by 13 +8.5
01/07 Home U Mass -7.5 W by 4 -3.5
01/12 Away Duquesne +1.0 W by 10 +11.0
01/16 Home Saint Louis -13.0 W by 5 -8.0
01/20 Home Rhode Island -12.5 W by 34 +21.5
01/23 Away La Salle -8.5 W by 12 +3.5
01/27 Away Richmond -3.5 L by 5 -8.5
01/30 Home Geo Wshgtn -12.5 W by 22 +9.5
02/02 Home St Bonavent -7.5 W by 5 -2.5
02/06 Away St Josephs -2.0 W by 15 +13.0
02/09 Away VCU -2.0 L by 2 -4.0
02/13 Home Duquesne -8.0 W by 16 +8.0
02/17 Home Fordham -13.0 W by 8 -5.0
02/21 Away Geo Mason -3.5 L by 4 -7.5
02/27 Home Davidson -10.5 W by 14 +3.5
03/01 Away Loyola-Chi -1.0 L by 5 -6.0
03/05 Away Saint Louis -9.5 W by 17 +7.5
03/08 Home VCU -8.0 W by 5 -3.0
03/14 Neutral Duquesne -7.0 L by 8 -15.0
03/21 Neutral Nevada +1.5 W by 3 +4.5
03/23 Neutral Arizona +8.5 L by 10 -1.5

Murray St Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Midway -- W by 33 --
11/10 Home TN Tech -12.5 W by 6 -6.5
11/14 Home W Kentucky -1.0 L by 5 -6.0
11/20 Neutral NC-Wilmgton +5.5 L by 2 +3.5
11/22 Neutral App State +2.5 L by 10 -7.5
11/29 Home Bradley +3.5 W by 7 +10.5
12/03 Away Illinois St +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
12/09 Away Austin Peay -2.0 L by 4 -6.0
12/13 Away Miss State +16.0 L by 4 +12.0
12/16 Home SE Louisiana -10.5 L by 6 -16.5
12/18 Away AR Lit Rock -1.5 L by 14 -15.5
12/22 Home S Methodist +5.5 L by 27 -21.5
12/30 Home Middle Tenn -4.5 W by 21 +16.5
01/02 Home IL-Chicago -3.5 W by 12 +8.5
01/06 Away Evansville +1.0 W by 22 +23.0
01/10 Away Missouri St +5.0 W by 24 +29.0
01/14 Home N Iowa -1.5 L by 10 -11.5
01/17 Away IL-Chicago +1.0 W by 15 +16.0
01/21 Home Indiana St +5.5 L by 9 -3.5
01/24 Away Bradley +8.5 L by 8 +0.5
01/27 Home S Illinois -3.0 L by 2 -5.0
01/30 Home Illinois St -7.0 L by 2 -9.0
02/03 Away N Iowa +6.0 W by 28 +34.0
02/07 Away Belmont +2.5 L by 5 -2.5
02/10 Home Evansville -7.5 W by 3 -4.5
02/14 Home Missouri St -3.5 W by 10 +6.5
02/18 Away Drake +9.5 L by 23 -13.5
02/21 Away S Illinois +4.5 L by 4 +0.5
02/24 Home Valparaiso -13.0 W by 12 -1.0
02/28 Home Belmont -3.0 L by 22 -25.0
03/03 Away Indiana St +14.0 L by 12 +2.0
03/07 Neutral Missouri St -2.5 L by 25 -27.5