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Dayton at George Mason: Recap
Wednesday Feb 18, 2026 7:00 pm -
Fairfax, VA
Odds:
George Mason by 2,
Total Points:
137
Matchup Menu: DAY @ GMU
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Mason | DAY | 41.7% | ||
| GMU | 58.3% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GMU -2.0 | DAY | 46.5% | ||
| GMU | 53.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 137.0 | Over | 47.7% | ||
| Under | 52.3% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GMU -133 | DAY | -5.2% | ||
| GMU | +1.2% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAY | 66.6 | 67.5 | 82 |
| GMU | 69.4 | 69.5 | 67 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | DAY | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 74.1 | 72.9 |
| Avg Score Margin | +4.8 | +4.9 |
| Assists/Game | 14.2 | 12.6 |
| Total Rebounds/Gm | 32.9 | 34.9 |
| Effective FG % | 51.6% | 52.7% |
| Off Rebound % | 25.0% | 29.1% |
| FTA/FGA | 0.462 | 0.411 |
| Turnover % | 14.9% | 13.7% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | DAY | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 69.3 | 68.0 |
| Opp Effective FG % | 51.0% | 49.5% |
| Off Rebounds/Gm | 7.6 | 8.5 |
| Def Rebounds/Gm | 22.7 | 23.4 |
| Blocks/Game | 3.9 | 3.0 |
| Steals/Game | 8.2 | 5.0 |
| Personal Fouls/Gm | 16.7 | 15.5 |