IL-Chicago at Dayton: Point Spread Line Movement

Friday Dec 23, 2011 7:00 pm - Dayton, OH
Odds: Dayton by 16.5, Total Points: 133

DAY -17.0 Open -17.5 High -18.5
Last -18.5 Low -17.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2006-2007 NCAA Basketball season there have been 710 games where the closing line favored the home team by 15.5 to 17.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Dayton won the game 685 times (96.5%)
  • The team like Illinois-Chicago won the game 25 times (3.5%)
  • The team like Illinois-Chicago did better against the spread, going 384-305-21 (55.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2008-2009 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1171 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Illinois-Chicago did better against the spread, going 601-549-21 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -17.0 -16.5 -16.5
Open -17.5 -18.0 -18.0
History
12/23 07:00 PM -- -- -16.5
12/23 06:26 PM -- -- -16.5
12/23 06:25 PM -- -16.5 --
12/23 04:16 PM -- -- -17.5
12/23 03:15 PM -- -17.5 --
12/23 12:26 PM -- -- -17.5
12/23 09:48 AM -17.0 -- --
12/23 04:16 AM -- -- -18.0
12/22 09:58 PM -18.5 -- --
12/22 09:56 PM -- -- -18.0
12/22 05:45 PM -- -17.5 --
12/22 05:35 PM -- -18.0 --
12/22 05:28 PM -18.0 -- --
12/22 01:48 PM -17.5 -- --
12/16 07:00 PM -- -- -18.0