Liberty at Fla Gulf Cst: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 15, 2022 7:00 pm - Fort Myers, FL
Odds: Liberty by 4, Total Points: 138

More Games From Jan 15, 2022

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring LIB FGCU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting LIB FGCU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 54.6
Field Goal % 46.1% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 27.0 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 29.0 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 34.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 12.6
Free Throw % 64.5% 68.1%
Ball Control LIB FGCU
Rebounds 30.4 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 6.9
Turnovers 9.1 10.6
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.5
Steals 4.8 5.1
Fouls 12.6 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LIB FGCU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with LIB FGCU
2 Point Attempt 36.4% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 39.0% 25.5%
Player Fouled 20.1% 19.0%
Turnover 13.7% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken LIB FGCU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 22.5%