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Liberty vs. Miss State: Point Spread Line Movement

Thursday Nov 26, 2020 6:00 pm - Melbourne, FL (Neutral Site)
Odds: Mississippi State by 4.5, Total Points: 121.5

MSST -4.5 Open -7.0 High -7.0
Last -5.5 Low -4.5

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2848 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Mississippi State won the game 1890 times (66.4%).
  • The team like Liberty won the game 958 times (33.6%).
  • The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1437-1360-51 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 17 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 10-7 (58.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.2 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -4.5 -- -4.5
Open -5.0 -- -5.0
History
11/26 05:50 PM -4.5 -- --
11/26 05:25 PM -4.5 -- --
11/26 04:02 PM -4.5 -- --
11/26 01:08 PM -4.5 -- --
11/26 12:17 PM -4.5 -- --
11/26 11:45 AM -- -- -4.5
11/26 11:44 AM -4.5 -- --
11/26 10:50 AM -5.0 -- --
11/26 09:47 AM -5.0 -- --
11/26 09:35 AM -- -- -5.0