This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2015-2016 NCAA BB season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2016-2017 NCAA BB section, register for a free account.

IL-Chicago at Oregon St : Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Dec 13, 2011 10:00 pm - Corvallis, OR
Odds: Oregon St. by 18, Total Points: 137

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring UIC ORST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting UIC ORST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 60.2
Field Goal % 35.8% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 38.4% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 39.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 28.5
Free Throw % 62.2% 67.1%
Ball Control UIC ORST
Rebounds 37.9 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 11.8
Turnovers 14.2 9.4
Blocked Shots 4.3 6.1
Steals 4.4 8.0
Fouls 19.4 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UIC ORST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with UIC ORST
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 17.8% 21.1%
Player Fouled 24.4% 25.9%
Turnover 19.0% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UIC ORST
Shot Blocked 10.4% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 29.2% 31.3%