Notre Dame at Florida St: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 25, 2020 8:00 pm - Tallahassee, FL
Odds: Florida State by 9, Total Points: 141.5

More Games From Jan 25, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ND FSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ND FSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 66.4
Field Goal % 39.0% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 43.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 29.2 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 35.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 12.3
Free Throw % 72.9% 74.6%
Ball Control ND FSU
Rebounds 35.4 42.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 29.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 13.4
Turnovers 10.9 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.7 4.8
Steals 4.2 6.9
Fouls 10.5 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +1.0 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ND FSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ND FSU
2 Point Attempt 38.2% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 35.2% 26.8%
Player Fouled 19.3% 14.8%
Turnover 15.2% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 9.6% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ND FSU
Shot Blocked 7.3% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 34.2%