Notre Dame at Louisville: Point Spread Line Movement

Wednesday Feb 4, 2026 7:00 pm - Louisville, KY
Odds: Louisville by 18, Total Points: 156.5

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 789 games where the closing line favored the home team by 17 to 19 points. In these games:

• The team like Louisville won the game 751 times (95.2%).
• The team like Notre Dame won the game 38 times (4.8%).
• The team like Notre Dame did better against the spread, going 391-382-16 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022-2023 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4285 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Notre Dame did better against the spread, going 2135-2076-74 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.