Illinois vs. Illinois St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 23, 2011 9:30 pm - Cancun, QR (Neutral Site)
Odds: Illinois by 9, Total Points: 125.5

More Games From Nov 23, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ILL ILST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ILL ILST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 56.1
Field Goal % 45.8% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 42.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 35.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 10.8
Free Throw % 72.7% 64.6%
Ball Control ILL ILST
Rebounds 40.4 29.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 7.3
Turnovers 10.4 12.2
Blocked Shots 2.6 1.9
Steals 5.3 4.4
Fouls 12.9 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ILL ILST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ILL ILST
2 Point Attempt 47.4% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 27.5%
Player Fouled 23.3% 19.1%
Turnover 15.3% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ILL ILST
Shot Blocked 3.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 35.4% 20.4%