Air Force at Colorado St: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 29, 2020 4:00 pm - Fort Collins, CO
Odds: Colorado St. by 10, Total Points: 150.5

More Games From Feb 29, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring AFA CSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting AFA CSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 48.3 50.6
Field Goal % 44.7% 51.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 24.7 23.6
2 Point Shooting % 58.5% 63.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 27.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 41.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 11.7 16.9
Free Throw % 70.7% 77.4%
Ball Control AFA CSU
Rebounds 22.6 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 18.8 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 3.8 7.7
Turnovers 15.4 13.2
Blocked Shots 1.3 1.9
Steals 6.9 6.1
Fouls 15.1 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AFA CSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with AFA CSU
2 Point Attempt 34.5% 31.2%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 35.8%
Player Fouled 23.5% 22.5%
Turnover 22.9% 19.7%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken AFA CSU
Shot Blocked 3.8% 2.8%
Offensive Rebound 13.3% 29.2%