This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2023-24 NCAA Basketball season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2024-25 NCAA Basketball section, register for a free account.

American at Boston U: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Feb 8, 2023 7:00 pm - Boston, MA
Odds: Boston U by 1.5, Total Points: 128

Matchup Menu: AMER @ BU

More Games From Feb 8, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring AMER BU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting AMER BU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 50.7 52.2
Field Goal % 44.2% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 26.2 28.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 37.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 15.4
Free Throw % 71.6% 72.2%
Ball Control AMER BU
Rebounds 30.8 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 7.9
Turnovers 10.0 9.8
Blocked Shots 1.2 2.5
Steals 5.2 5.2
Fouls 14.2 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AMER BU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with AMER BU
2 Point Attempt 36.6% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.2% 32.4%
Player Fouled 23.8% 22.2%
Turnover 15.6% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken AMER BU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 24.6%