E Michigan at Michigan St: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 25, 2020 6:00 pm - East Lansing, MI
Odds: Michigan St by 22.5, Total Points: 136

More Games From Nov 25, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring EMU MSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting EMU MSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 55.9
Field Goal % 36.3% 56.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 41.5% 67.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 27.1% 40.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 20.7
Free Throw % 78.5% 76.0%
Ball Control EMU MSU
Rebounds 26.5 40.8
Rebounds - Defensive 18.7 31.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 8.9
Turnovers 12.0 13.0
Blocked Shots 1.2 3.9
Steals 6.7 4.5
Fouls 17.2 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMU MSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with EMU MSU
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 28.6%
Player Fouled 19.0% 23.4%
Turnover 16.3% 17.7%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMU MSU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 2.0%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 32.3%