Coppin St at N Kentucky: Box Score Simulation

Sunday Nov 17, 2019 2:00 pm - Highland Heights, KY
Odds: Northern Kentucky by 16.5, Total Points: 145

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring COPP NKU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting COPP NKU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 55.2
Field Goal % 37.6% 47.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 27.7% 33.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 23.1
Free Throw % 72.6% 73.1%
Ball Control COPP NKU
Rebounds 30.3 38.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 11.7
Turnovers 16.0 12.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.5
Steals 6.5 10.3
Fouls 16.0 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COPP NKU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with COPP NKU
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 40.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 24.9%
Player Fouled 17.8% 22.4%
Turnover 22.4% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 14.4% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken COPP NKU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 35.6%