Fla Gulf Cst at Miami: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 22, 2011 7:00 pm - Coral Gables, FL
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

More Games From Nov 22, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring FGCU MIA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting FGCU MIA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 59.2
Field Goal % 41.9% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 30.9 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 28.8 26.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 38.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 10.3 14.4
Free Throw % 68.1% 71.6%
Ball Control FGCU MIA
Rebounds 33.7 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.0
Turnovers 11.4 9.7
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 6.3 7.0
Fouls 12.4 9.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FGCU MIA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with FGCU MIA
2 Point Attempt 39.1% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.5% 33.9%
Player Fouled 14.3% 18.1%
Turnover 16.6% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FGCU MIA
Shot Blocked 4.5% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 26.9%