E Michigan at VA Tech : Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 22, 2011 7:00 pm - Blacksburg, VA
Odds: Virginia Tech by 18.5, Total Points: 117

More Games From Dec 22, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Early Season Warning: This simulation relies purely on current-season statistics and results, which means there isn't enough data to make very good predictions until roughly a month's worth of games have been played. We recommend you ignore this box score until January 15; however, due to a high volume of user requests we will leave it un-hidden during this early adjustment period.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting EMCH VTEC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 49.9
Field Goal % 37.9% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 43.2 27.4
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 68.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 26.3% 26.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.8 37.9
Free Throw % 65.9% 72.4%
Ball Control EMCH VTEC
Rebounds 36.6 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 31.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 6.1
Turnovers 15.8 15.5
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.0
Steals 8.7 9.4
Fouls 23.1 18.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMCH VTEC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with EMCH VTEC
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 30.7%
3 Point Attempt 18.4% 25.2%
Player Fouled 23.0% 28.1%
Turnover 19.2% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 11.4% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMCH VTEC
Shot Blocked 6.1% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 19.3%