Boston Col vs. Notre Dame: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Mar 11, 2020 7:00 pm - Greensboro, NC (Neutral Site)
Odds: Notre Dame by 10.5, Total Points: 140.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring BC ND
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting BC ND
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 56.3
Field Goal % 47.3% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.5% 55.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 35.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 10.6 17.8
Free Throw % 69.8% 74.6%
Ball Control BC ND
Rebounds 32.4 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 7.4
Turnovers 8.1 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.8 1.5
Steals 6.0 3.5
Fouls 14.0 10.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats BC ND
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with BC ND
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 38.9% 30.2%
Player Fouled 15.4% 20.1%
Turnover 11.6% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken BC ND
Shot Blocked 2.6% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 23.2%