This section is showing information that is up to date as of the end of the 2016-17 NCAA BB season. To join our email list and get notified when we launch the 2017-18 NCAA BB section, register for a free account.

NC Central at Oregon : Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Dec 20, 2011 10:00 pm - Eugene, OR
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

More Games From Dec 20, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCEN ORE
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NCEN ORE
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 59.4
Field Goal % 35.1% 49.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 38.9% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.2 19.2
Free Throw % 68.8% 70.3%
Ball Control NCEN ORE
Rebounds 30.4 43.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 12.5
Turnovers 11.4 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.8
Steals 4.0 5.3
Fouls 15.8 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCEN ORE
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NCEN ORE
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 28.1%
Player Fouled 17.5% 22.7%
Turnover 16.3% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCEN ORE
Shot Blocked 9.8% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 37.4%