Winthrop at NC-Asheville: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 25, 2012 2:00 pm - Asheville, NC
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

More Games From Feb 25, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIN UNCA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WIN UNCA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.6 53.4
Field Goal % 53.2% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 62.6% 55.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 33.0%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 23.9
Free Throw % 63.3% 64.2%
Ball Control WIN UNCA
Rebounds 39.2 25.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 19.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 5.8
Turnovers 14.6 12.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.1
Steals 5.0 7.0
Fouls 18.9 18.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIN UNCA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WIN UNCA
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 23.4%
Player Fouled 24.9% 25.5%
Turnover 19.7% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIN UNCA
Shot Blocked 4.0% 3.9%
Offensive Rebound 37.6% 17.5%