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E Michigan at UC Irvine: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 30, 2019 10:00 pm - Irvine, CA
Odds: UC Irvine by 9, Total Points: 123.5

Matchup Menu: EMU @ UCI

More Games From Nov 30, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring EMU UCI
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting EMU UCI
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 59.5
Field Goal % 40.0% 51.4%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 43.0
2 Point Shooting % 43.0% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 33.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 20.1
Free Throw % 66.6% 75.7%
Ball Control EMU UCI
Rebounds 29.2 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 20.8 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 10.7
Turnovers 10.8 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.3
Steals 4.5 6.1
Fouls 15.3 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EMU UCI
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with EMU UCI
2 Point Attempt 52.3% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 20.5% 20.0%
Player Fouled 20.2% 21.8%
Turnover 15.3% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken EMU UCI
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 33.9%