James Mad at Elon: Box Score Simulation

Monday Feb 26, 2018 7:00 pm - Elon, NC
Odds: Elon University by 4, Total Points: 143

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU ELON
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting JMU ELON
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 52.9
Field Goal % 50.8% 40.0%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 29.7
2 Point Shooting % 59.6% 47.2%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 30.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 21.7
Free Throw % 69.7% 68.8%
Ball Control JMU ELON
Rebounds 38.5 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 21.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.8
Turnovers 8.9 13.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.0
Steals 8.0 5.1
Fouls 16.1 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU ELON
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with JMU ELON
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 28.6%
Player Fouled 19.5% 22.7%
Turnover 12.6% 18.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 11.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU ELON
Shot Blocked 3.8% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 35.1% 24.8%