James Mad at Geo Mason: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Jan 28, 2012 2:00 pm - Fairfax, VA
Odds: George Mason by 11.5, Total Points: 136

More Games From Jan 28, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU GMU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting JMU GMU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 58.9
Field Goal % 40.4% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.3 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.8% 32.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 20.3
Free Throw % 65.0% 68.6%
Ball Control JMU GMU
Rebounds 32.6 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 11.5
Turnovers 11.9 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.6
Steals 5.4 5.6
Fouls 16.3 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU GMU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with JMU GMU
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 27.1%
Player Fouled 21.3% 23.1%
Turnover 16.9% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU GMU
Shot Blocked 9.7% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 32.9%