James Mad at Old Dominion: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Nov 20, 2019 7:00 pm - Norfolk, VA
Odds: Old Dominion by 11.5, Total Points: 136

More Games From Nov 20, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU ODU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting JMU ODU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.2 55.0
Field Goal % 45.2% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 28.4 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 51.8%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 26.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 22.8
Free Throw % 65.9% 73.6%
Ball Control JMU ODU
Rebounds 33.5 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 25.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 10.7
Turnovers 12.9 12.5
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.1
Steals 5.4 8.3
Fouls 17.7 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU ODU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with JMU ODU
2 Point Attempt 34.7% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 25.6%
Player Fouled 22.5% 24.7%
Turnover 17.9% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU ODU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 30.3%