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James Mad at Geo Wshgtn: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Dec 22, 2011 7:00 pm - Washington, DC
Odds: George Washington by 3, Total Points: 133.5

Matchup Menu: JMU @ GW

More Games From Dec 22, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring JMU GW
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting JMU GW
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 67.6 55.6
Field Goal % 45.2% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 50.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 33.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 22.6
Free Throw % 69.7% 75.4%
Ball Control JMU GW
Rebounds 38.9 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 7.4
Turnovers 8.1 12.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.7
Steals 8.1 4.9
Fouls 15.2 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JMU GW
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with JMU GW
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 28.5%
Player Fouled 17.4% 20.3%
Turnover 10.8% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken JMU GW
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.4% 21.3%