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Oregon at Arizona St: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 12, 2012 10:30 pm - Tempe, AZ
Odds: Arizona State by 1, Total Points: 130.5

Matchup Menu: ORE @ ASU

More Games From Jan 12, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ORE ASU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ORE ASU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.3 57.4
Field Goal % 45.4% 42.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.0 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 30.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 19.5
Free Throw % 72.9% 65.3%
Ball Control ORE ASU
Rebounds 39.5 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 30.0 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 7.1
Turnovers 10.8 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.7
Steals 5.9 6.4
Fouls 14.7 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ORE ASU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ORE ASU
2 Point Attempt 42.2% 44.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 27.5%
Player Fouled 21.8% 20.5%
Turnover 15.1% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ORE ASU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 19.2%