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Drexel at Ste F Austin: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 16, 2019 6:30 pm - Nacogdoches, TX
Odds: Stephen F. Austin by 4, Total Points: 149.5

Matchup Menu: DREX @ SFA

More Games From Nov 16, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring DREX SFA
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting DREX SFA
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 57.4
Field Goal % 46.0% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 39.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 31.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 21.4
Free Throw % 71.0% 70.3%
Ball Control DREX SFA
Rebounds 36.9 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.6 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.1
Turnovers 13.4 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.0
Steals 5.1 6.5
Fouls 17.3 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DREX SFA
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with DREX SFA
2 Point Attempt 42.7% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 21.2%
Player Fouled 25.1% 24.5%
Turnover 19.0% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DREX SFA
Shot Blocked 5.4% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 27.5%