Jacksonville at E Tenn St: Box Score Simulation

Monday Feb 13, 2012 7:00 pm - Johnson City, TN
Odds: N/A, Total Points: N/A

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring JAC ETSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting JAC ETSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 55.0
Field Goal % 40.8% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 22.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 33.1%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.1 25.1
Free Throw % 69.8% 66.1%
Ball Control JAC ETSU
Rebounds 34.8 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 22.9 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 13.5
Turnovers 12.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.9
Steals 6.9 6.9
Fouls 16.7 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats JAC ETSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with JAC ETSU
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 27.3%
Player Fouled 24.2% 24.1%
Turnover 17.7% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken JAC ETSU
Shot Blocked 9.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 37.0%