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NW State at UT Rio Grande: Over/Under Analysis

Monday Mar 2, 2026 7:30 pm - Edinburg, TX
Odds: UT Rio Grande Valley by 9.5, Total Points: 139.5

Matchup Menu: NWST @ UTRGV

More Games From Mar 2, 2026

Over/Under Predictions

Pick	Model	Confidence
Under 139.5	Official TR Pick	51% odds to go under
Under 139.5	Similar Games	53% odds to go under
Under 139.5	Decision Tree	51% odds to go under

Over/Under Situational Trends

Record	NWST	UTRGV
Season	15-15-0	13-18-0
vs Division	0-0-0	0-0-0
vs Conference	9-14-0	11-13-0
Streak	Un 5	Ov 2
Last 5	0-5-0	2-3-0
Last 10	3-7-0	5-5-0
Home	4-8-0	3-10-0
Away	11-7-0	10-8-0

Records denote overs-unders-pushes

NW State Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Texas A&M	153.0	68-98	Over	+13.0
11/06	Away	N Texas	138.5	53-80	Under	-5.5
11/11	Away	N Alabama	142.5	83-87	Over	+27.5
11/14	Home	Ecclesia College	--	95-75	Under	--
11/18	Away	San Francisco	143.0	64-84	Over	+5.0
11/21	Away	Grand Canyon	147.5	72-85	Over	+9.5
11/29	Home	Southern	144.5	73-75	Over	+3.5
12/05	Away	McNeese	140.0	54-92	Over	+6.0
12/07	Away	SE Louisiana	133.5	76-68	Over	+10.5
12/13	Away	California	145.0	70-79	Over	+4.0
12/20	Home	Southern-New Orleans	--	108-55	Under	--
12/29	Home	Lamar	139.0	61-76	Under	-2.0
12/31	Home	SF Austin	138.5	64-74	Under	-0.5
01/03	Home	New Orleans	149.5	74-68	Under	-7.5
01/05	Away	Nicholls	144.5	72-74	Over	+1.5
01/10	Home	Texas A&M-CC	136.5	79-78	Over	+20.5
01/12	Home	UT Rio Grande	143.5	64-63	Under	-16.5
01/17	Away	Incarnate Word	142.0	74-76	Over	+8.0
01/19	Away	Hou Christian	140.5	80-82	Over	+21.5
01/27	Away	SF Austin	141.5	67-69	Under	-5.5
01/31	Away	New Orleans	153.5	64-75	Under	-14.5
02/02	Home	Nicholls	147.5	58-61	Under	-28.5
02/04	Home	E Texas A&M	142.5	68-74	Under	-0.5
02/07	Away	E Texas A&M	140.5	48-52	Under	-40.5
02/09	Away	Lamar	135.5	70-68	Over	+2.5
02/14	Home	SE Louisiana	132.0	69-66	Over	+3.0
02/16	Home	McNeese	137.5	64-75	Over	+1.5
02/21	Home	Hou Christian	134.5	71-53	Under	-10.5
02/23	Home	Incarnate Word	138.5	54-49	Under	-35.5
02/28	Away	Texas A&M-CC	134.5	59-71	Under	-4.5
03/02	Away	UT Rio Grande	139.5	62-74	Under	-3.5
03/08	Neutral	Nicholls	137.5	47-61	Under	-29.5

UT Rio Grande Detailed Over/Under Performance

Date	H/A/N	Opponent	Total	Score	Result	+/-
11/03	Away	Baylor	154.5	81-96	Over	+22.5
11/08	Away	S Utah	159.5	95-72	Over	+7.5
11/11	Away	Boise St	162.5	65-85	Under	-12.5
11/17	Home	SW Adventist	--	110-53	Under	--
11/22	Away	Missouri St	149.0	67-74	Under	-8.0
11/24	Away	Illinois	164.5	73-87	Under	-4.5
12/03	Away	SF Austin	143.5	60-73	Under	-10.5
12/07	Home	Austin Peay	151.5	63-50	Under	-38.5
12/11	Home	UT Arlington	145.5	50-58	Under	-37.5
12/16	Away	Lamar	139.5	83-72	Over	+15.5
12/20	Home	College of Biblical Studies	--	109-51	Under	--
12/29	Home	New Orleans	152.5	69-85	Over	+1.5
12/31	Home	Nicholls	145.5	69-71	Under	-5.5
01/03	Home	Texas A&M-CC	137.5	59-63	Under	-15.5
01/05	Home	Incarnate Word	146.0	80-67	Over	+1.0
01/10	Away	E Texas A&M	145.5	69-77	Over	+0.5
01/12	Away	NW State	143.5	63-64	Under	-16.5
01/17	Home	McNeese	146.0	79-76	Over	+9.0
01/19	Home	SE Louisiana	135.5	68-65	Under	-2.5
01/24	Away	Hou Christian	140.5	68-51	Under	-21.5
01/26	Away	Texas A&M-CC	136.5	64-55	Under	-17.5
01/31	Away	Incarnate Word	141.5	106-93	Over	+57.5
02/02	Home	Hou Christian	141.0	74-57	Under	-10.0
02/07	Away	New Orleans	151.0	95-76	Over	+20.0
02/09	Away	Nicholls	148.5	92-72	Over	+15.5
02/14	Home	SF Austin	143.5	57-66	Under	-20.5
02/16	Home	Lamar	142.0	70-65	Under	-7.0
02/21	Away	SE Louisiana	138.5	96-75	Over	+32.5
02/23	Away	McNeese	146.5	68-75	Under	-3.5
02/28	Home	E Texas A&M	146.5	63-55	Under	-28.5
03/02	Home	NW State	139.5	74-62	Under	-3.5
03/09	Neutral	Nicholls	143.5	86-68	Over	+10.5
03/10	Away	McNeese	140.5	80-84	Over	+23.5