NW State at Cincinnati : Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 21, 2011 7:00 pm - Cincinnati, OH
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NSU CIN
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NSU CIN
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.1 65.5
Field Goal % 35.5% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 42.8
2 Point Shooting % 36.8% 60.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 35.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.1 21.9
Free Throw % 80.4% 70.3%
Ball Control NSU CIN
Rebounds 27.6 47.1
Rebounds - Defensive 18.6 30.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 17.0
Turnovers 14.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.1 6.8
Steals 4.1 9.4
Fouls 14.8 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NSU CIN
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NSU CIN
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 25.1%
Player Fouled 18.5% 20.3%
Turnover 19.6% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 13.0% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NSU CIN
Shot Blocked 10.4% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 47.8%