Miss Val St at Notre Dame : Box Score Simulation

Saturday Nov 12, 2011 2:00 pm - South Bend, IN
Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MVST NDAM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 55.9
Field Goal % 33.4% 63.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 47.5 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 35.2% 77.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.3 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 43.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 11.5 24.1
Free Throw % 65.8% 74.5%
Ball Control MVST NDAM
Rebounds 26.1 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 15.1 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.9
Turnovers 12.3 9.1
Blocked Shots 0.5 4.6
Steals 5.1 7.4
Fouls 15.6 10.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MVST NDAM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MVST NDAM
2 Point Attempt 56.4% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 27.4%
Player Fouled 14.7% 21.9%
Turnover 17.2% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MVST NDAM
Shot Blocked 8.3% 0.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 37.2%