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Miss Val St at Iowa St: Box Score Simulation

Tuesday Nov 5, 2019 8:00 pm - Ames, IA
Odds: Iowa State by 34, Total Points: 146.5

Matchup Menu: MVSU @ ISU

More Games From Nov 5, 2019

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring MVSU ISU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting MVSU ISU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 45.0 54.3
Field Goal % 33.1% 54.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.3 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 37.2% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 25.3% 42.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 25.8
Free Throw % 66.0% 70.8%
Ball Control MVSU ISU
Rebounds 24.6 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 17.4 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 11.7
Turnovers 19.9 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.8
Steals 5.5 11.8
Fouls 16.9 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MVSU ISU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with MVSU ISU
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 22.8%
Player Fouled 20.3% 25.1%
Turnover 29.6% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 17.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MVSU ISU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 40.3%