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Iowa St at Kansas St: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 25, 2012 1:45 pm - Manhattan, KS
Odds: Kansas State by 8, Total Points: 135.5

Matchup Menu: ISU @ KSU

More Games From Feb 25, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ISU KSU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ISU KSU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 47.5
Field Goal % 41.0% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 24.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 28.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 21.2
Free Throw % 70.8% 71.9%
Ball Control ISU KSU
Rebounds 34.1 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 9.8
Turnovers 8.4 18.3
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.4
Steals 11.1 4.6
Fouls 16.2 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ISU KSU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ISU KSU
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 30.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 27.9%
Player Fouled 23.7% 23.1%
Turnover 12.0% 26.1%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 15.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken ISU KSU
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 31.0%