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Iowa St at Kansas: Box Score Simulation

Monday Feb 17, 2020 9:00 pm - Lawrence, KS
Odds: Kansas by 17, Total Points: 141

Matchup Menu: ISU @ KU

More Games From Feb 17, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ISU KU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ISU KU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 52.5
Field Goal % 40.9% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 43.1% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 30.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 17.8
Free Throw % 70.8% 71.4%
Ball Control ISU KU
Rebounds 32.1 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.1
Turnovers 9.0 14.1
Blocked Shots 2.6 3.6
Steals 8.7 5.9
Fouls 14.1 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ISU KU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ISU KU
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 23.6%
Player Fouled 20.0% 20.1%
Turnover 12.9% 20.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 12.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ISU KU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 26.4%