Valparaiso at Bradley: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Jan 29, 2020 7:00 pm - Peoria, IL
Odds: Bradley by 5.5, Total Points: 140

More Games From Jan 29, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring VALP BRAD
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting VALP BRAD
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 57.4
Field Goal % 36.1% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 38.2% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 39.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.4 15.3
Free Throw % 70.2% 74.3%
Ball Control VALP BRAD
Rebounds 31.2 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 9.4
Turnovers 10.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.1
Steals 5.6 6.4
Fouls 13.1 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VALP BRAD
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with VALP BRAD
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 27.3%
Player Fouled 18.8% 19.0%
Turnover 15.4% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken VALP BRAD
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 30.8%