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Alabama at North Dakota: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 18, 2024 9:00 pm - Grand Forks, ND
Odds: Alabama by 25, Total Points: 167

Matchup Menu: ALA @ UND

More Games From Dec 18, 2024

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring ALA UND
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting ALA UND
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 64.4
Field Goal % 54.5% 36.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 25.9 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 70.8% 38.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 32.8 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 41.6% 32.4%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 30.7 21.8
Free Throw % 76.9% 70.0%
Ball Control ALA UND
Rebounds 46.2 28.9
Rebounds - Defensive 34.1 18.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 10.1
Turnovers 9.6 8.4
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.2
Steals 5.3 6.1
Fouls 16.2 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ALA UND
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with ALA UND
2 Point Attempt 29.3% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 37.2% 27.8%
Player Fouled 26.5% 21.6%
Turnover 12.7% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ALA UND
Shot Blocked 3.6% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 39.1% 22.8%