Alabama at Mississippi St: Recap

Tuesday Jan 13, 2026 9:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Alabama by 4.5, Total Points: 171.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Alabama ALA 63.3%
MSST 36.7%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MSST +4.5 ALA 48.6%
MSST 51.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 171.5 Over 51.4%
Under 48.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off ALA -2.8%
MSST -0.4%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
ALA 88.2 88.0 97
MSST 84.1 83.5 82

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat ALA MSST
Points/Game 91.8 77.4
Avg Score Margin +9.1 -1.0
Assists/Game 16.7 12.6
Total Rebounds/Gm 41.3 39.8
Effective FG % 55.3% 50.8%
Off Rebound % 28.8% 28.9%
FTA/FGA 0.370 0.317
Turnover % 11.3% 13.8%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat ALA MSST
Opp Points/Game 82.7 78.4
Opp Effective FG % 48.4% 48.8%
Off Rebounds/Gm 10.0 10.1
Def Rebounds/Gm 27.4 26.6
Blocks/Game 5.6 4.4
Steals/Game 6.6 5.8
Personal Fouls/Gm 19.4 15.9