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Alabama at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis

Tuesday Feb 12, 2019 9:00 pm - Starkville, MS
Odds: Mississippi State by 5.5, Total Points: 151.5

ATS Predictions

Pick Model Confidence
Miss State -5.5 Official TR Pick Miss State 52% odds to cover
Miss State -5.5 Decision Tree Miss State 52% odds to cover
Alabama +5.5 Similar Games Alabama 61% odds to cover

ATS Situational Trends

Record ALA adv MSST
Season 13-20-1 17-17-0
vs Division 0-0-0 0-0-0
vs Conference 9-11-0 10-10-0
Streak L2 L2
Last 5 1-4-0 2-3-0
Last 10 2-8-0 6-4-0
Home 5-10-1 10-7-0
Away 8-10-0 7-10-0

Alabama Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/06 Home Southern -27.0 W by 20 -7.0
11/11 Home App State -12.5 W by 8 -4.5
11/15 Neutral Northeastrn -4.0 L by 16 -20.0
11/16 Neutral Ball State -3.5 W by 18 +14.5
11/18 Neutral Wichita St -4.5 W by 4 -0.5
11/26 Home Murray St -8.0 W by 6 -2.0
11/29 Away Central FL +5.0 L by 6 -1.0
12/04 Home Georgia St -8.0 L by 3 -11.0
12/09 Home Arizona -3.0 W by 3 0.0
12/18 Neutral Liberty -4.5 W by 9 +4.5
12/21 Home Penn State -4.0 W by 9 +5.0
12/30 Away Ste F Austin -7.0 W by 10 +3.0
01/05 Home Kentucky +5.0 W by 2 +7.0
01/08 Away LSU +6.5 L by 9 -2.5
01/12 Home Texas A&M -7.0 L by 1 -8.0
01/16 Away Missouri -1.5 W by 10 +8.5
01/19 Away Tennessee +13.0 L by 3 +10.0
01/22 Home Mississippi -1.0 W by 21 +20.0
01/26 Away Baylor +3.0 L by 5 -2.0
01/29 Home Miss State -1.5 W by 4 +2.5
02/02 Away Auburn +10.0 L by 21 -11.0
02/06 Home Georgia -8.0 W by 15 +7.0
02/09 Away Vanderbilt -3.5 W by 10 +6.5
02/12 Away Miss State +5.5 L by 19 -13.5
02/16 Home Florida -3.5 L by 18 -21.5
02/19 Away Texas A&M -2.0 L by 9 -11.0
02/23 Home Vanderbilt -8.5 W by 7 -1.5
02/26 Away S Carolina +1.5 W by 6 +7.5
03/02 Home LSU +3.0 L by 5 -2.0
03/05 Home Auburn +3.0 L by 6 -3.0
03/09 Away Arkansas +4.5 L by 12 -7.5
03/14 Neutral Mississippi +3.5 W by 5 +8.5
03/15 Neutral Kentucky +12.5 L by 18 -5.5
03/20 Home Norfolk St -16.0 L by 1 -17.0

Miss State Detailed ATS Performance

Date H/A/N Opponent Line Result +/-
11/09 Home Austin Peay -18.5 W by 28 +9.5
11/11 Home Hartford -23.5 W by 18 -5.5
11/16 Home Lg Beach St -21.0 W by 28 +7.0
11/19 Neutral Arizona St -4.0 L by 5 -9.0
11/21 Neutral St Marys -5.0 W by 4 -1.0
11/26 Home Alcorn State -32.5 W by 23 -9.5
11/30 Away Dayton -2.5 W by 7 +4.5
12/04 Home McNeese St -29.0 W by 13 -16.0
12/08 Neutral Clemson -4.0 W by 11 +7.0
12/15 Home Cincinnati -2.0 W by 11 +9.0
12/19 Home Wofford -9.0 W by 11 +2.0
12/22 Neutral Wright State -13.0 W by 4 -9.0
12/29 Home BYU -9.0 W by 22 +13.0
01/08 Away S Carolina -6.0 L by 5 -11.0
01/12 Home Mississippi -5.0 L by 4 -9.0
01/15 Home Florida -4.5 W by 3 -1.5
01/19 Away Vanderbilt -3.0 W by 16 +13.0
01/22 Away Kentucky +7.0 L by 21 -14.0
01/26 Home Auburn (Pick) W by 8 +8.0
01/29 Away Alabama +1.5 L by 4 -2.5
02/02 Away Mississippi +2.0 W by 6 +8.0
02/06 Home LSU -3.0 L by 4 -7.0
02/09 Home Kentucky +3.5 L by 4 -0.5
02/12 Home Alabama -5.5 W by 19 +13.5
02/16 Away Arkansas -1.0 W by 10 +9.0
02/20 Away Georgia -6.5 W by 1 -5.5
02/23 Home S Carolina -10.0 W by 15 +5.0
02/26 Home Missouri -11.5 W by 19 +7.5
03/02 Away Auburn +5.5 L by 5 +0.5
03/05 Away Tennessee +8.0 L by 17 -9.0
03/09 Home Texas A&M -10.5 W by 11 +0.5
03/14 Neutral Texas A&M -9.0 W by 26 +17.0
03/15 Neutral Tennessee +6.0 L by 7 -1.0
03/22 Neutral Liberty -7.0 L by 4 -11.0