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Harvard at San Francisco: Box Score Simulation

Monday Dec 30, 2019 9:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: San Francisco by 6.5, Total Points: 150.5

Matchup Menu: HARV @ SF

More Games From Dec 30, 2020

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HARV SF
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting HARV SF
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 49.4 62.2
Field Goal % 38.7% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 42.9% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 34.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 13.3
Free Throw % 69.8% 74.2%
Ball Control HARV SF
Rebounds 31.2 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 11.2
Turnovers 13.5 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.1 5.5
Steals 5.2 8.1
Fouls 12.2 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HARV SF
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with HARV SF
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 31.2%
Player Fouled 25.0% 17.5%
Turnover 19.4% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HARV SF
Shot Blocked 8.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 31.3%