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South Dakota at Oral Roberts: Box Score Simulation

Thursday Jan 26, 2012 8:05 pm - Tulsa, OK
Odds: Oral Roberts by 18.5, Total Points: 139

Matchup Menu: SDAK @ ORU

More Games From Jan 26, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SDAK ORU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SDAK ORU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.7 63.5
Field Goal % 44.9% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 20.5 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 38.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 15.5
Free Throw % 76.4% 77.1%
Ball Control SDAK ORU
Rebounds 37.2 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.2 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 8.0
Turnovers 10.0 6.5
Blocked Shots 1.2 3.5
Steals 2.7 5.1
Fouls 12.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SDAK ORU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SDAK ORU
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.0% 33.5%
Player Fouled 21.6% 17.3%
Turnover 13.9% 9.1%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 3.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SDAK ORU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 22.1%