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Oklahoma St vs. S Methodist: Box Score Simulation

Wednesday Dec 28, 2011 6:30 pm - Dallas, TX (Neutral Site)
Odds: Oklahoma State by 4.5, Total Points: 125

Matchup Menu: OKST @ SMU

More Games From Dec 28, 2011

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKST SMU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting OKST SMU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 64.0
Field Goal % 44.0% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 44.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 33.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 16.4
Free Throw % 71.2% 68.6%
Ball Control OKST SMU
Rebounds 34.5 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 13.0
Turnovers 12.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.7
Steals 5.7 9.1
Fouls 12.6 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKST SMU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with OKST SMU
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 22.8%
Player Fouled 21.4% 17.9%
Turnover 17.6% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 13.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKST SMU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 34.6%