Wyoming at New Mexico: Box Score Simulation

Saturday Feb 11, 2012 3:30 pm - Albuquerque, NM
Odds: New Mexico by 9.5, Total Points: 121.5

More Games From Feb 11, 2012

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WYO UNM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WYO UNM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 53.7
Field Goal % 42.8% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 29.2 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 26.3 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 30.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 13.6 23.5
Free Throw % 74.3% 72.1%
Ball Control WYO UNM
Rebounds 29.5 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.3 9.3
Turnovers 14.0 13.1
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.4
Steals 5.8 7.5
Fouls 17.9 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WYO UNM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WYO UNM
2 Point Attempt 37.1% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 24.6%
Player Fouled 19.7% 24.7%
Turnover 19.3% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WYO UNM
Shot Blocked 4.5% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 15.7% 27.7%